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The Watercooler for 11/06/09 5:00 PM

DFA's home for a free form, open-ended discussion of what matters most to committed progressive activists.

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- Howie's got the trophy! w00T!!

By puddle on Nov 6, 2009 5:21 PM EST
Default_user

- The Taliban-al Qaeda links

By dog soldier on Nov 6, 2009 5:30 PM EST

A tad more complicated then normally dsicussed.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/will-marshall/the-talibans-ties-to-al-q_b_348584.html

[snip]
What this suggests, of course, is that a Taliban restoration in Afghanistan could easily lead to al-Qaeda's return. It also means, according to Elias, that the Taliban probably can't be split or co-opted the way Sunni insurgents in Iraq were.

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A lot of 4GW experts state that making a better deal with the Taliban to give up bin Laden is the preferred method. This may not work.

Another article indicates that as long as the opium money flows, the Taliban has enough cash to buy weapons and continue to survive. Perhaps McChrystal is right to insist we need to ramp up the troops to allow help and protect the NGOs.

Perhaps it is more then us being there that triggers anger. It may be our non-muslimism culture; or our disdain for any cultures other then our own.

The question is as always; What is the Grand Strategy?

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- from 538

By puddle on Nov 6, 2009 6:30 PM EST
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- Rahm Emanuel chats with Chamber...

By Luther Biggs on Nov 6, 2009 6:40 PM EST

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1109/29132.html

The White House continued its fence-mending with the U.S. Chamber of Commerce on Wednesday — very quietly — dispatching Obama chief of staff Rahm Emanuel to speak to the group’s board of directors.

But the White House didn’t widely publicize the session, and Emanuel’s remarks were off the record.

The speech represented an olive branch of sorts to the business group, of which the White House has been harshly critical in recent weeks. Obama senior adviser Valerie Jarrett denounced the group as “old school” and said the White House was going around it to work directly with CEOs....

excerpted, see link for full article.

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- Friday afternoon quote by Anni

By seashell on Nov 6, 2009 6:40 PM EST

Art Garfunkel used to sing a song with these lines:

Endings always come at last,
Endings always come too fast,
They come too fast,
And they pass too slow,
I love you
And that's all I know.

*******************

I love you, Anni, and I miss you and your letters...and your Friday afternoon music trivia questions.

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- Just turned on MSNBC

By seashell on Nov 6, 2009 6:51 PM EST

This Hasan attack is going in a direction that makes me increasingly uncomfortable.  All of a sudden, the fact that he's a Muslim is given a lot of press...and that he yelled Allah Ak-bar when he started shooting.  Is that even true?

What if this is twisted by our craven critters/media to be like a false flag, riling up the already scared Americans about the *evils* of Muslims, thereby justifying continued and escalating wars?

This killing of our soldiers comes at a very convenient time, doesn't it?  The people are against more war, Obama is in the process of making a decision, the military is yelling BOO as usual and wanting to invade everybody. 

In politics, big things are timed to coincide with other big or bigger things.  I'm paranoid and skeptical and admit it.

If this is used to add more troops...........:-(

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By seashell on Nov 6, 2009 7:11 PM EST

Actually, I think it more accurate to say that when big things (like the Hasan murders) happen, there's an attitude of *let's not let a good opportunity go to waste.*

This is a *good* opportunity to rile up the Americans against Muslims.  Fear is a motivator.  If Obama feels he has the people with him, he'll escalate.  JMO

 

Default_user

- sea, you remarks about Major Hasan have grown increasingly hysterical.

By cChal on Nov 6, 2009 8:12 PM EST

Sorry, but it's a fact.

As strongly as I believe that we should get out of Afghanistan and Iraq NOW, I also know that this incident will have no impact on a decision to increase/decrease troops.  Hopefully, it will shed light on the need for better screening of caregivers (as Hasan was) and more sensitivity training towards American muslims serving in our armed forces.

Military justice is meted out harshly.  The grenade roller from 2003 was given the death penalty.  I don't expect much differently for Major Hasan as the evidence that he did it will likely be in abundance.  Here are some of his victims:

The 13 people killed when an Army psychiatrist allegedly opened fire on fellow soldiers at Fort Hood, Texas, included a pregnant woman who was preparing to return home, a man who quit a furniture company job to join the military about a year ago, a newlywed who had served in Iraq and a woman who had vowed to take on Osama bin Laden after the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks.

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-

By seashell on Nov 6, 2009 7:01 PM EST

Hoh is coming on on Hardball.

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- Sensationalism in broadcasting Post 1

By Luther Biggs on Nov 6, 2009 7:01 PM EST

Sensationalism is often blamed for the 'infotainment style' of many of the news programs broadcast over radio and television. Yet the news has always been enjoyed for as long as it has been exchanged (Stephens, 2006:15). The debate of sensationalism used in the mass medium of broadcasting is based on a misunderstanding of its audience, especially the television audience. Thompson (1999) explains that the term 'mass' which is connected to broadcasting, suggests a 'vast audience of many thousands, even millions of passive individuals'. When sensationalism used through broadcasting is combined with this concept of the passive mass audience, it is assumed the audience consumes all information fed to them. However Thompson continues that the recipients of a message, no matter how sensationalized it is, ' make with it what they will, and the producer is not there to elaborate or to correct possible misunderstanding' (1999:195). Thus it is the misinterpretation of the broadcast audience as passive consumers which is problematic for the use of sensationalism.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sensationalism

-excerpted-

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- - Sensationalism in broadcasting Post 2

By Luther Biggs on Nov 6, 2009 7:02 PM EST

- cont.- excerpted.

Further more, while the newspaper is often seen as a more credible source than television news because of televisions use of footage over spoken information; they are both sensationalized to the same extent. Television news is restricted to showing the scenes of crimes rather than the crime itself because of the unpredictability of events. Whereas newspaper writers can always recall what they did not witness. "No act of violence is beyond the reach of the still formidable magic of words" (Stephens, 2006:280). Furthermore, television news writers have room for fewer words than their newspaper counterparts. Their stories are measured in seconds, not column inches and thus even with footage, television stories are undeniably shallower than most newspaper stories. And because their words are intended for a less acute, less painstaking sense — hearing — television news writers must forswear the more complex formulations a newspaper reporter might hazard (Stephes, 2007: 281).

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sensationalism
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- On a lighter note

By seashell on Nov 6, 2009 7:05 PM EST

I just discovered last week that my "Silver Sneaker" Kaiser health plan includes a free membership in a health club.  Yes!  I swam and sat in the jacuzzi today. 

There are bennies to getting older.  I thought of one last year too.  :-)

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- ...you go girl...

By Luther Biggs on Nov 6, 2009 7:26 PM EST

 

 

                                    

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- This is a *good* opportunity to rile up the Americans against Muslims. Fear is a motivator. If Obama feels he has the people with him, he'll escalate. JMO

By puddle on Nov 6, 2009 7:46 PM EST

That's about as nasty and cynical a thing to say as I've ever seen.  Half of his family *is* Muslim. . . .

 

Do you *ever* listen to what you say?

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- Oh for god's sakes, puddle

By seashell on Nov 6, 2009 8:05 PM EST

look at the word *good*  in astericks. 

Let me rephrase this for people who dislike me and twist my words.

THE FACT THAT'S HE'S MUSLIM MAY BE MADE BY REPUGS OR SOME GOV'T OFFICIALS TO TRY AND MAKE THE PUBLIC FEAR MUSLIMS AND AGREE TO MORE WAR AGAINST MUSLIMS IN THE ME.

Have you even read my prior posts?  Again,  twisting my words, not able to understand astericks.

What a trouble-maker!!!

 

 

 

 

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- I simply quoted your words. Period.

By puddle on Nov 6, 2009 8:11 PM EST
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By seashell on Nov 6, 2009 8:10 PM EST

Yes, I'm cynical about war-mongers in our gov't and what they might do with this tragedy.

Nasty?  Not a chance.  I'm a sweetheart.  :-)

 

Default_user

- Well, as I said upthread your remarks

By cChal on Nov 6, 2009 8:17 PM EST

about the Hasan tragedy have grown increasingly hysterical.  One has to wonder if you simply won't be satisfied until you've provoked a response...hence the escalation.

and I'm not normally a cynic, but gotta wonder, sea.

This is just a suggestion for all: This is one of those moments that can allow this thread to become the *all about seashell* thread....or not.  Let's not.  It's Friday:))

I'm beginning to believe that a permanent policy of using the inner ignore button is appropriate in some cases.  Sometimes if ignored escalators will stop the behavior.

Default_user

- and yes, the racist types in our country

By cChal on Nov 6, 2009 8:29 PM EST

will cite this incident to boost their stereotypes. They are hysterics.

As if Timothy McVeigh is typical of all white men.

But to imply a conspiracy to escalate the war in Afghanistan is just as hysterical.  No difference, really.

Default_user

- Three Cups of Tea

By cChal on Nov 6, 2009 8:37 PM EST

The inspiring account of one man's campaign to build schools in the most dangerous, remote, and anti-American reaches of Asia

In 1993 Greg Mortenson was the exhausted survivor of a failed attempt to ascend K2, an American climbing bum wandering emaciated and lost through Pakistan's Karakoram Himalaya. After he was taken in and nursed back to health by the people of an impoverished Pakistani village, Mortenson promised to return one day and build them a school. From that rash, earnest promise grew one of the most incredible humanitarian campaigns of our time—Greg Mortenson's one-man mission to counteract extremism by building schools, especially for girls, throughout the breeding ground of the Taliban.

Award-winning journalist David Oliver Relin has collaborated on this spellbinding account of Mortenson's incredible accomplishments in a region where Americans are often feared and hated. In pursuit of his goal, Mortenson has survived kidnapping, fatwas issued by enraged mullahs, repeated death threats, and wrenching separations from his wife and children. But his success speaks for itself. At last count, his Central Asia Institute had built fifty-five schools. Three Cups of Tea is at once an unforgettable adventure and the inspiring true story of how one man really is changing the world—one school at a time.

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By Susan Rowe on Nov 6, 2009 9:22 PM EST

Florez Joins Huerta In Fast For Health Care Reform http://www.turnto23.com/politics/21545343/detail.html

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By puddle on Nov 6, 2009 9:32 PM EST

Virginia and New Jersey Follow Historical Pattern     Permalink

Republicans Bob McDonnell and Chris Christie won their gubernatorial races in Virginia and New Jersey, respectively. With stories spinning in all directions about the predictive value of yesterday's elections, perhaps a look at the historical record of the Virginia and New Jersey off-year elections will prove of interest. In all eight gubernatorial elections since Ronald Reagan's first term, Virginia has given the party of the incumbent President a loss. In New Jersey, the President's party has lost six gubernatorial elections in a row`. Here are the data.

 

Year President Virginia Winner New Jersey Winner Net House
2009 Barack Obama (D) Bob McDonnell (R) Chris Christie (R) ?
2005 George W. Bush (R) Tim Kaine (D) Jon Corzine (D) Dem +31
2001 George W. Bush (R) Mark Warner (D) Jim McGreevey (D) GOP +7
1997 Bill Clinton (D) Jim Gilmore (R) Christie Whitman (R) Dem +5
1993 Bill Clinton (D) George Allen (R) Christie Whitman (R) GOP +54
1989 George H.W. Bush (R) Doug Wilder (D) Jim Florio (D) Dem +7
1985 Ronald Reagan (R) Gerald Baliles (D) Tom Kean (R) Dem +5
1981 Ronald Reagan (R) Chuck Robb (D) Tom Kean (R) Dem +27

 

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- (cont'd)

By puddle on Nov 6, 2009 9:33 PM EST

In both states, it seems pretty clear that the voters tend to show their disappointment with the new President by voting for the other party, no matter which party controls the White House. Most likely many people had some expectations from the newly (re)elected President, didn't see them satisfied and wanted to send the incumbent a message. The correlation (12 out of 12 and 14 out of 16) is too strong for just chance. This year's results should be interpreted in this light. While the results are not encouraging for President Obama, they are hardly surprising.

What about the predictive value of these elections? The House of Representatives midterm election the following year is probably the best metric since Senate elections are full of big names and partisan identification doesn't play as big a role there as in the House. The fifth column in the table above shows what happened in the House election in the year following the Virginia and New Jersey gubernatorial races. Since 1982, the Democrats have swept both gubernational elections three times (1981, 2001, and 2005). In the House elections the year after, the Democrats experienced a small win, a small loss, and a big win. The Republicans also swept the two gubernatorial elections three times (1993, 1997, and 2009). In the midterms a year later they won big and lost small once each.

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- (cont'd)

By puddle on Nov 6, 2009 9:35 PM EST

So all told, sweeping the two governor's race gives you a 60% chance of picking up House seats the next year, hardly a sure thing. In short, the only pattern that seems constant over the years is the President's party doing badly in the two gubernatorial elections. Will these results affect policy? Quite possibly. Democrats from conservative districts are likely to get antsy about voting for health care reform, climate change, immigration, or anything else on the President's agenda. Obama is going to have to convince them that running for reelection under the slogan "I blocked change" is not going to be a winner. But he will have his work cut out for him. In some cases the conservative Democrats may say (privately) to him: "Look, can't you just water all these things down so they don't change anything but you can still claim victory?" Of course, the progressive caucus in the House won't White House be fooled, so an internal struggle within the Democratic Party could ensue.

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By Susan Rowe on Nov 6, 2009 9:46 PM EST

Al Gore is now on Rachel show.

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- cC is right

By seashell on Nov 6, 2009 10:36 PM EST

Ignore me.  Keeps everyone happy.

I'm simply thinking war mongers and bigots might try and use this.  If you watched Keith, it's already starting.  The nutjobs are making this about Muslims infiltrating our military.

And now off to dance.  :-)  Maybe I can dance off my

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- Fear is a motivator. If Obama feels he has the people with him, he'll escalate. JMO

By Love White Castles on Nov 6, 2009 10:54 PM EST

 That one sentence kinda might have folks thinking that you'd think our president would escalate the wars to appease the fallout from the actions of a mentally ill person.  That's kind of far fetched, dontcha think?  Knowing the man, can you really believe that?

Have fun dancing

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- First ~~

By puddle on Nov 7, 2009 12:06 AM EST

you have to believe that the right will "use" this -- it will, and it's already beginning.

But *then* you have to believe or be willing to imply that our President's a war monger who'll use any excuse to kill Moslems.  Which is absurd.

He inherited this damn war, and as dog has pointed out on numerous occasions getting on with it *or* getting out of it is going to be damned difficult.

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- You mean no magic wand will do the trick?

By Love White Castles on Nov 7, 2009 12:22 AM EST

.

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- ab so lute ly not! BYKT right?

By puddle on Nov 7, 2009 12:33 AM EST
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- YIKT

By Love White Castles on Nov 7, 2009 12:38 AM EST

Hunny is in the ensemble of Fiddler on the Roof, which opened tonight.  Local community theater. I'm going next weekend - this weekend is all mine and I'm burned out from a rough week.  I'm going to see the movie about Coco Chanel tomorrow night with a good friend.  Not much else planned.  I got a new bike and am going to try to put it together on Sunday.  Still some good riding days left before the hard rains set in.

 

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- Ah, so: WAKT!!

By puddle on Nov 7, 2009 1:46 AM EST

Ah, What memories that show brings up for me ~~ I was at the Broadway roadshow version in DC  with my ma jongg group when the beginning of what was going to be the Six Day War was announced.  Perfect silence in the audience. . . .

~~~~~~~~~~~~~

Wiki:

Following numerous border clashes between Israel and its Arab neighbours, particularly Syria, Egyptian President Gamal Abdel Nasser expelled the United Nations Emergency Force (UNEF) from the Sinai Peninsula in May 1967.  The peacekeeping force had been stationed there since 1957, following a British-French-Israeli invasion of Egypt which was launched during the Suez Crisis. Egypt amassed 1,000 tanks and nearly 100,000 soldiers on the Israeli border and closed the Straits of Tiran to all ships flying Israeli flags or carrying strategic materials, receiving strong support from other Arab countries.  Israel responded with a similar mobilization that included the call up of 70,000 reservists to augment the regular IDF forces

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By mary vb on Nov 6, 2009 11:30 PM EST

The racists will react to the Fort Hood killings but someone on DKos or Andrew Sullivan (sorry, no link) brought up Christian terrorists such as Timothy McVeigh, abortion doctor killers and of course, Hitler.  But the wingnutty racists will never see that...

 

Hope y'all have a good night.  I fear it will be a long one in our household.  My son's little Kitty ate a ribbon.  Rushed to Vet, etc.  No blockages but don't think this little fellow can pass this canvas ribbon on his own - he's under two pounds - just a little guy.  I feel awful since I gave it to him to play with in the first place -- just hoping we won't be taking another trip to the Vet ER in the middle of the night.  Sigh...

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- Oh, ack!

By puddle on Nov 6, 2009 11:59 PM EST

My hunny's pussy cat is a ribbon thief, lol!  Christmas is *hell*!!

Good luck on this one, luv!

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- OMG I just had this conversation with a friend of mine

By Love White Castles on Nov 7, 2009 12:21 AM EST

who actually said that Muslims should not be in our military.  I also reminded him of the same Christian terrorists you listed.  He said I misuderstood him.  Uh huh.

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- Hope kitty is ok mary

By Love White Castles on Nov 7, 2009 12:23 AM EST

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